Scott Wraight offers his analysis of the Wings/Stars matchup; from Sports Illustrated :
(1) Detroit Red Wings vs. (5) Dallas Stars
Regular-season series: Wings won 3-11/2: Wings 4, Stars 1
1/5: Wings 3, Stars 0
2/17: Stars 1, Wings 0
3/13: Wings 5, Stars 3
The Skinny:
The Stars and Red Wings, ready to renew playoff hostilities for the first time since 1998, took different paths to this final. Dallas, the “underdog” each time, upended the defending champion Ducks in the opening round, then showed its teeth in knocking off one of the more popular Cup picks—San Jose—in six games. Two mentally and physically draining series. But at least the Stars’ first-round hiccup is a thing of the past.Detroit, meanwhile, had to fight a little harder than expected against the Predators. But in the second round, the top-seeded Wings motored past the injury-riddled Avs in four games. The big question heading into this showdown is which team’s style will win out: Dallas’ chip-and-chase or Detroit’s puck possession.
In their series against the Sharks, the Stars had a tough time sustaining offensive attacks. Against Colorado, the Wings were able to dictate the action nearly the entire series. One thing will be for certain with a ticket to the Stanley Cup Final on the line: top-shelf goaltending will be on display. Chris Osgood has yet to lose a game in these playoffs, going 6-0 since taking over for Dom Hasek. All Marty Turco has done is pocket eight wins against two Pacific powers and produce a shiny 1.73 GAA and .929 save percentage.
If there’s an area where one team has an edge, it’s defense. Detroit boasts more depth and all-around skill. The Stars have regularily been trotting out three rookie backends during the playoffs. Dallas does hold an edge when it comes to physical play, but Detroit’s nucleus of veteran bruisers (Darren McCarty and Chris Chelios) won’t shy away from any big hits. The key to the series may be the front of Turco’s net, where it’ll probably fall on Mattias Norstrom to clear out Tomas Holmstrom, easily the best mucker in the league.
Spotlight is on: Marty Turco
Much was made of the veteran netminder’s inability to step up during the postseason (ah, those playoff demons). And with good reason: he hadn’t been able to get out of the first round since 2002-03. But that talk seems to have dissipated. Turco is the biggest reason the Stars are in the West final. But then we come to the issue of the Red Wings, who are Turco’s albatross. Over the past three seasons, he is 2-6 with a 2.89 GAA against them. And he really has issues at Joe Louis Arena (0-4 since 2005-06). But Turco appears more focused and driven this season, especially in the playoffs.X-Factor for Wings: Jiri Hudler
The Stars will, and must, focus on The Mule, Johan Franzen, who has made the playoffs his personal playground. But with the added attention on Franzen, Pavel Datsyuk and Henrik Zetterberg, the Wings need tehir secondary scorers to come up big. Enter Hudler, who has nine points in the postseason despite averaging just 11:38 of ice time. He had just a single point in four games against Dallas during the regular season, but the extra eyes on Franzen may mean extra production from Hudler, who at 24 seems to be getting better with each game.X-Factor for Stars: Jere Lehtinen
Here’s another case of an overlooked weapon. Detroit will most likely focus on playmakers Mike Ribeiro, Brad Richards, Mike Modano and Sergei Zubov. But the veteran Lehtinen has a knack of potting huge goals, and he has eight points in the playoffs. He also had two points in two games against the Wings this season. But the two-way forward will need to stay aggressive throughout and not be afraid to shoot the puck more. He could also turn out to be a big player on the power play.The Pick: Red Wings in seven
