On the Forecheck
Next entry: Shea Weber: 2008-9 Forechecker's Forecast
Previous entry: Paul Newman passes at 83
Bloggers Invitational Fantasy Hockey Draft
by Forechecker on 09/27/08 at 04:58 PM ET
Comments (1)
It’s been a long 2.5 hours, but the draft is complete for James Mirtle’s 2008-09 Blogger Invitational Fantasy Hockey league, and it’ll be interesting to see how it all shakes out this season. A number of well-known bloggers are ready to put their NHL savvy to the test, including P.J. Swenson of Sharkspage, Greg Wyshynski (Yahoo’s Puck Daddy), Battle of California’s Earl Sleek, and many, many more. It’s an 18-team field that should be quite competitive as we wend our way through the long grind of the upcoming NHL regular season. Sure, we did have one unfortunate soul stuck on auto-draft (he ended up with Alexander Radulov and Erik Johnson, ouch), but by and large these managers were on their toes.
So without further ado, ladies and gentlemen, let’s meet your 2008-09 Fab Forecheckers…
| Pos | Forwards/Defensemen | Round | Overall | |
| C | Rod Brind’Amour | (Car - C) | 8 | 144 |
| C | Michael Nylander | (Was - C) | 9 | 145 |
| C | Robert Lang | (Mon - C) | 10 | 180 |
| LW | Alexander Ovechkin | (Was - LW) | 1 | 1 |
| LW | Andrew Brunette | (Min - LW) | 11 | 181 |
| RW | Alexei Kovalev | (Mon - RW) | 4 | 72 |
| RW | J.P. Dumont | (Nsh - RW) | 6 | 108 |
| F | Brian Gionta | (NJ - RW) | 7 | 109 |
| F | Jamie Langenbrunner | (NJ - RW) | 12 | 216 |
| D | Bryan McCabe | (Fla - D) | 5 | 73 |
| D | Rob Blake | (SJ - D) | 13 | 217 |
| D | Jaroslav Spacek | (Buf - D) | 14 | 252 |
| D | Ville Koistinen | (Nsh - D) | 15 | 253 |
| Util | Mike Sillinger | (NYI - C) | 16 | 288 |
| BN | Sami Salo | (Van - D) | 17 | 289 |
| BN | Jordin Tootoo | (Nsh - RW) | 18 | 324 |
| BN | Francois Beauchemin | (Anh - D) | 19 | 325 |
| Pos | Goaltenders | |||
| G | Tomas Vokoun | (Fla - G) | 2 | 36 |
| G | Dan Ellis | (Nsh - G) | 3 | 37 |
| BN | Craig Anderson | (Fla - G) | 20 | 360 |
Skater Scoring Categories: G, A, +/-, PIM, PPG, PPA, GWG, SOG
Goaltender Scoring Categories: W, GAA, SV, SV%, SHO
My basic approach, as outlined in an earlier post, was to provide rankings within each of our league’s scoring criteria, and use this properly weighted total to guide my choices. One refinement I made was to use a value-based scoring system rather than pure ranking*, which made for a much more satisfactory layout of the talent available.
With the first overall pick (lucky me!) I took Alex Ovechkin; from a fantasy hockey perspective the guy stands head & shoulders above his peers, and I couldn’t give up that marginal value. With 18 teams and 2 starting goalie slots apiece, having two #1 guys can pretty much ensure victory in some matchups, so I snagged Tomas Vokoun and Dan Ellis next. Yes, Ellis was a bit of a reach there (who knows if he’ll flame out like Chris Mason did last year), but the goaltender pickings would have become mighty slim. From there I was able to snag Alexei Kovalev at #72, and things proceeded pretty well from there.
While I can’t say I’m in love with absolutely every pick, I’m really satisfied with the lineup as a whole. With 90 seconds for each selection, it was often difficult to keep my spreadsheet updated when it came to my turn. Along the way during the draft I’d delete the lines for players drafted, which allowed my ranking system to dynamically reflect the changing nature of the available talent remaining. At times it became apparent that only a few relatively elite performers remained in a given position, and that helped inform my choices during the middle rounds.
Last season, my squad dominated the regular season but came up short in the playoffs. The long march to redemption starts now, so watch out, Mirtle’s Merry Men, the Fab Forecheckers are coming on strong!
*Instead of RANK(C2,C:C), for example, I would use (C2-MIN(C:C))/(MAX(C:C)-MIN(C:C)). This reflected where a player’s particular value fit in within the overall range of that stat. For example, if you had 10 guys tightly bunched together at the top of the goal projections, that 10th guy would look pretty lousy using a plain RANK function. That second function, however, more properly reflects the the small difference in production you’ll get from such players.
Filed in: Fantasy Hockey | On the Forecheck | Permalink
Comments
Add a Comment
Please limit embedded image or media size to 575 pixels wide.
Add your own avatar by joining Kukla's Korner, or logging in and uploading one in your member control panel.
Captchas bug you? Join KK or log in and you won't have to bother.
Most Recent Blog Posts
Preds place Peverley on waivers
What Sundin could mean for Vancouver
A little less conversation, a little more action please!
About On the Forecheck
Dirk Hoag is the Forechecker, churner of NHL stats and analysis. Having started over 10 years ago writing for websites like In the Crease and e-Sports, Dirk launched On The Forecheck in 2005 to cover the Nashville Predators as well as apply statistical analysis to NHL hockey.
Email:
Catch Sully's Comeback
Steve Sullivan plans to play in Saturday's home game against the Chicago Blackhawks. For discounted Nashville Predators tickets, including steeply discounted Ticketmaster fees, take advantage of this special offer, and use the code word predators at checkout.
another way of ranking a player for the head to head pools, is to value each rank based on which categories were most important last season in the same pool.
Example: Last year goals were part of a win 67% of the time in my head to head pool. As a result, I would multiply the goals rank by 67%. Now you add all the ranks based on that criteria, and the lowest scores are the better players..... Of course, this ranking puts Sundin as my most valuable pick....hmmm..
Posted by Showtyme on 09/27/08 at 07:50 PM ET