On the Forecheck
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by Forechecker on 12/09/08 at 02:19 PM ET
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Any Nashville Predators fan can tell you that 5-on-3 shorthanded situations are a dangerous affair; last night in St. Louis, the Preds gave up their 7th(!) such goal this season. Just in time for Barry Trotz’s chalk-talk before tonight’s game with Vancouver, hockey stats guru Gabriel Desjardins brings us an analysis of just how much more likely a team is to score with 5-on-3 as opposed to a 5-on-4 power play.
The short answer is, quite a bit more, and it’s usually well worth it strategically to pass the puck to the shorthanded team as soon as a ref raises his arm, to maximize that 5-on-3 time. The only situation I could see where you wouldn’t want to do this is if the team on the power play is defending a lead late in the game; keeping the man advantage for a longer time might be better at keeping down the chances of the other team scoring to tie things up, but the defensive side of power play action isn’t addressed here.
Filed in: NHL Statistical Analysis | On the Forecheck | Permalink
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